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Crown Green Handicap

Les Hatton

Team: Black HorseDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

779

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

100

Matches Played

66

Wins

34

Losses

66%

Win Rate

8.6

Avg Win Margin

6.7

Avg Loss Margin

36-14

Home Record

30-20

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
60 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 60 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

66 wins

Next goal: Hot Streak 1513/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2024
10-Game Streak12 in a row
Home Dominance11/11 home

Handicap Trend

All Time · 100 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr9 Aug6 Jun5 Sept16 Jul29 Apr5 Aug3 Jun1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
62%
score+0.23→contribution+0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
748
score-0.04→contribution-0.00
Weighted Score+0.156
Sample Size Confidence
100%(60/41 matches)
Rating1047 → shrunk 1047→ adjusted 800
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)747
Recency Blend40% (60 recent matches)
Final Rating779
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

66W34L100 matches·66% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Black Horse2022–2026Division 3, Division 2100663466%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Terry JonesA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Harry OrrettH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2026Paul BoltonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/11/2026G McClurgA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2026Rob CulshawH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2026George BishopA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2026John HopeH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Ken BibbyA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2026K MaraH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/30/2026Peter GeorgesonA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2026Mike CramptonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Paul RobertsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2026G McClurgH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Andy PattieA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2026L JonesH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026T PriceA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
4/28/2026Phil GreenwoodA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2026Mike DavinA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025R Cash (Jnr)A6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Roy PealingH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Alan CarrA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2025G OliverA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025David SuttonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Martin WebsterA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Greg WinstanleyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Mike SmithH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Antony TeelingH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Andy WeaverA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025John CorlessH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Neil SherwoodA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Garry CarrH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Graham ParrA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Kieron FeeneyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Mike SmithA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Kevin MarshH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Brian McCarrickA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Alan WaterworthH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Tom OllertonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Ron ModiakH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
9/11/2024Roy LesterA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2024Peter GeorgesonA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/27/2024S DuncanH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024James RobertsH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2024Kevin ParrA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Ron PickavanceH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Roy LesterH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024K HurstH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Les RobertsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024P MurphyH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Jonathan FenneyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024Terry JonesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Harry OrrettA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024Kevin ParrH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Doug LaceA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/15/2024K WebsterA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Gary IrelandH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2024Julian CliffeA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Ken WoodsH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024David HullH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Martin JonesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Alan DelahuntA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Tony GordonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023John StampH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023G McClurgA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Keith WalshH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Neil CunninghamA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023Alan JohnsonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Colin StockleyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Kevin HighcockH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/27/2023George FitzpatrickA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Roy LesterH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Tony GordonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Ian HillA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Alan WrightH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Phil WatkinsA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023Stuart BloxhamH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Alec EdwardsH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2023G WebsterA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Graham FenneyH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
4/11/2023Phillip AlmondA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2022Norman AthertonH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Ernest ShawA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Gordon ParrH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Stephen TinsleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Steve ThomasH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022William McCabeA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Ron PickavanceH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Liam RogersA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Barry FosterH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Tony PilkingtonA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Ernest ShawH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Kevin CorriganA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022Alan AbbottA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Gordon LoweH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022A WakefieldH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Trevor FrenchA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Roy AttwoodH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022J HornA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Roland GaskellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

13

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWWL
Last 1070% win rate— steady
WLWWLWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
G McClurg21366.7%8/11/2026
Roy Lester303100%9/11/2024
Terry Jones202100%9/1/2026
Harry Orrett0220%8/26/2026
Peter Georgeson202100%6/30/2026
Mike Smith202100%7/22/2025
Kevin Parr202100%8/13/2024
Ron Pickavance202100%8/6/2024
Tony Gordon202100%8/22/2023
Ernest Shaw0220%8/30/2022
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)4/22/2026
Heaviest Defeat
R Cash (Jnr) (-15)9/2/2025
Favourite Victim
Roy Lester3-0 H2H
Best Season
202485% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202533% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
72% → 60%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
744100 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-420% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
65-3068% win rate

By Division

Division 347-13 (78%)
Division 219-21 (48%)
Division 247.5%
19W·21L·40 played
Division 378.3%
47W·13L·60 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

20.0 (100 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026